Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 13.271478 15.519649 17.974510 20.846446 24.106129 27.682741 31.895633
2025-04-27 10.131383 13.358364 17.246114 22.235246 28.424001 35.801831 45.210974
2025-05-04 7.981043 11.590638 16.291653 22.771018 31.363845 42.251321 56.952855
2025-05-11 6.358613 10.046465 15.182326 22.699955 33.235210 47.259560 67.079463
2025-05-18 5.097024 8.701575 14.036161 22.274575 34.391326 51.222389 75.948537
2025-05-25 4.133051 7.589124 13.001485 21.779829 35.264587 54.717651 84.284401
2025-06-01 3.379377 6.654136 12.064894 21.251360 35.939277 57.868823 92.235076
2025-06-08 2.682436 5.672245 10.886784 20.152101 35.559326 59.342343 97.724591
2025-06-15 2.428544 5.437803 10.916626 21.004728 38.297963 65.682886 110.876161
2025-06-22 2.149415 5.099865 10.708082 21.405733 40.298991 70.970113 122.689926
2025-06-29 1.813390 4.580115 10.086748 20.989623 40.854477 73.942894 130.989470
2025-07-06 1.484662 4.006335 9.272980 20.110527 40.495481 75.346909 136.788343
2025-07-13 1.373937 3.921559 9.462015 21.233527 43.962175 83.654439 154.904605
2025-07-20 1.280019 3.864161 9.713493 22.536556 47.932136 93.198237 175.870685
2025-07-27 1.134785 3.645958 9.585956 23.059118 50.482639 100.445228 193.389130
2025-08-03 0.970379 3.335011 9.197947 22.983844 51.859191 105.676154 207.708542
2025-08-10 0.811626 2.994855 8.680181 22.553272 52.471907 109.529358 219.787992
2025-08-17 0.675658 2.680523 8.165723 22.053075 52.875480 112.990354 231.327087
2025-08-24 0.560735 2.394980 7.668835 21.518859 53.138993 116.174260 242.506243
2025-08-31 0.443477 2.059775 6.972708 20.407621 52.042532 116.622918 248.580470
2025-09-07 0.411587 2.017993 7.077148 21.269544 55.339915 125.925434 271.887760
2025-09-14 0.368632 1.920668 7.005080 21.674904 57.643132 133.365249 291.989768
2025-09-21 0.308969 1.734621 6.633774 21.254275 58.014718 136.887646 304.651715